Service Plays Tuesday 08/04/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, AUGUST 4

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Colorado (58-47) at Philadelphia (59-44)

Fresh off a three-game sweep of the Reds in Cincinnati, the Rockies resume their 10-game road trip when they send Jason Hammel (5-6, 4.66 ERA) to the mound opposite the Phillies’ Jamie Moyer (10-7, 5.32) at Citizens Bank Park.

Colorado got two runs in the 11th inning on Sunday and topped the Reds 6-4, then took Monday off. The Rockies started their road trip with three straight losses to the Mets by the combined score of 18-3, but they’ve won the last four, all by multiple runs. Colorado, which leads the N.L. Wild-Card race, is on surges of 38-15 overall, 20-8 on the road and 12-4 in series openers.

Philadelphia, which also was idle Monday, concluded its seven-game road trip by losing four of its last five, including Sunday’s 7-3 setback at San Francisco. Still, the defending champs are on positive streaks of 20-7 overall, 14-3 at home, 5-2 after a loss, 7-3 following a day off and 37-18 on Tuesday.

The Phillies have taken seven of the last eight series clashes with Colorado dating to the start of last season, including winning two of three at Coors Field in the opening week of this season.

The Rockies have lost three straight games behind Hammel, including Thursday’s 7-0 setback at the Mets, with the right-hander giving up five runs on seven hits in a season-low 1 1/3 innings. Over his last five outings, Hammel has surrendered 18 runs (all earned) in 21 2/3 innings (7.48 ERA). Despite the implosion at Citi Field against the Mets, Hammel is still 4-3 with a solid 2.67 ERA on the highway, giving up just two home runs in 57 1/3 innings. He has yet to face the Phillies in his career.

Moyer scattered six hits and four walks in 6 2/3 scoreless innings at Arizona in his most recent start on July 27, with Philadelphia prevailing 6-2. It was the second time in his last three starts that Moyer pitched scoreless baseball, but both of those outings were on the road. He’s struggled at Citizens Bank this year, going 4-5 with a 6.83 ERA in 10 starts.

With Moyer on the mound, Philadelphia is on streaks of 6-1 overall, 4-1 on Tuesday and 25-8 when opening a series. However, the 46-year-old southpaw has struggled with Colorado in his career, going 1-4 with a 5.45 ERA in five starts, but the one victory was a 20-5 blowout win at home last May.

These clubs have been involved in shootouts lately, as the “over” is 7-1 in the last eight head-to-head meetings overall and 10-4-1 in the last 15 clashes in Philadelphia (playoffs included). The “over” is also 4-1 in the Phillies’ last five at home. Conversely, Philadelphia carries “under” trends of 5-2 overall, 5-0 against right-handed starters, 5-2 versus the N.L. West and 10-3 in Moyer’s last 13 starts. Similarly, the Rockies are on “under” runs of 5-1-1 overall, 4-1-1 on the road, 5-1-1 with Hammel on the mound and 4-0-1 with Hammel working on the highway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


AMERICAN LEAGUE


Boston (62-42) at Tampa Bay (58-48)


The Red Sox continue their nine-game A.L. East road trip with a brief two-game stop at Tropicana Field, with Jon Lester (9-7, 3.90) scheduled to pitch opposite the Rays’ Matt Garza (7-8, 3.69).

Boston has won four in a row, including a three-game weekend sweep at Baltimore that was capped by Sunday’s 18-10 rout. The Red Sox, who were off on Monday, have busted out offensively in a big way, scoring six runs or more in six of their last seven games, averaging 8.3 runs per game during this stretch. In addition to winning its last four in a row, Terry Francona’s crew is on runs of 40-13 after an off day, 19-7 against A.L. East rivals and 4-1 in series openers, but it has lost 27 of its last 39 games played on artificial turf.

Tampa Bay took down the Royals 10-4 on Monday afternoon, yet has only split its last eight games. In fact, the defending American League champs are just 14-13 in their last 27 overall (8-5 at home). On the bright side, the Rays are on upticks of 91-38 at Tropicana Field going back to 2008, 9-3 at home against lefty starters, 5-2 in series openers and 4-0 on Tuesday.

Tampa Bay holds a 6-4 lead in the season series with Boston, though the teams have alternated wins and losses in the last six contests. Going back to last September – and including the A.L. Championship Series between the clubs – the Red Sox have lost seven of their last 10 at Tropicana Field, going 1-3 this year.

Lester’s run of six straight quality starts and 10 consecutive outings allowing three earned runs or fewer came to halt Thursday against the A’s, as he gave up four runs in 5 2/3 innings. However, Red Sox rallied for an 8-5 victory, improving to 9-2 in the lefty’s last 11 starts. Furthermore, with Lester on the bump, the Red Sox are on runs of 49-22 overall, 4-1 on the road, 4-1 against the A.L. East and 4-1 on Tuesday.

Lester is 4-4 with a 4.52 ERA in 10 road starts this season, but 3-1 with a 2.18 ERA in his last five road efforts. On the downside, he’s faced the Rays twice this season – both at home – and got walloped in both contests, giving up five runs in five innings of a 7-2 loss on April 8 and yielding eight runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 14-5 defeat exactly a month later. Boston has lost four straight games to the Rays with Lester pitching, including two playoff contests last October.

Garza has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, including Thursday when he limited the Yankees to three runs on eight hits and three walks in seven innings, but he lost 6-2. Tampa Bay is just 5-7 in Garza’s last 12 trips to the mound, including 2-3 at home, where the right-hander is 4-4 despite a solid 3.36 ERA In 11 starts.

Garza is 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox this year and 4-0 with a 1.56 ERA in his last five outings against Boston (including two playoff wins in October). Additionally, with Garza facing the Sox, Tampa Bay is on runs of 6-1 overall and 5-0 in Florida.

Boston is on “under” runs of 6-1 overall, 7-2 on the road, 7-3-1 on Tuesday, 6-2-1 against the A.L. East, 14-6-3 in series openers, 7-2-1 after a day off and 9-1-3 when Lester begins a series. Similarly, Tampa Bay is riding “under” streaks of 38-17-2 overall, 4-1-1 at home, 11-3 in divisional play, 5-1 versus lefty starters, 13-3 against winning teams and 4-0 on Tuesday. Also, with Garza pitching, the “under” is on stretches of 35-16-2 overall (11-1 last 12), 4-1 at home and 5-0 against the A.L. East.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 4, 2009

The Little Team That Can't couldn't get it done against the Diamondbacks last night in the big Citi, so Hondo's debt was jacked up to 470 chesbros.

Tonight, it's back to the Bombers, who likely will rack up a couple of wins before beginning a four- game losing streak Thursday. Ten units on Pettitte over the former trade bait known as Roy Halladay.

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordans 3 picks

Chris Jordan Tuesday night sweep ...
200♦ MARLINS RUN LINE (LIST Johnson over the Nationals) - Analysis due back by 4 p.m. eastern

200♦ RAYS (LIST Garza over Lester) -

200♦ UNDER Yankees/Blue Jays (LIST Pettitte/Halladay) -





Bad day yesterday with both Fazzini and Jordan on Detroit...Hoping to start the week off right...d1g1t GL All...



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[str8flush95]

Fastball - Best Bets

DET over BAL

 

[fly73]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Selection

305 - 198 run 60 % 52-27 run here

TUES Phillies

 

[fly73]

Free Silver Key Pick for Tuesday ML Baseball

DODGERS KURODA -R -130 Over Milwaukee (10:10 et)

 

[fly73]

Cappers Access


Tue (MLB) Pirates
Tue (MLB) Rays

 

[fly73]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SCOTT FERRALL

MLB FREE PICKS FOR TUESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


MONEY LINE


Yankees (Pettitte)

TORONTO (HALLADAY) -140 (1)



Baltimore (Matusz)

DETROIT (WASHBURN) -210 (2)



FLORIDA (JOHNSON) -160 (3)

Washington (Martin)



RUN TOTALS


Baltimore / Detroit UNDER 9

Yankees / Toronto UNDER 8

Boston / Tampa Bay UNDER 8

 

[fly73]

Joe wiz

Bonus Plays

sea/ kc under
sf/hou under
phillies

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Arizona at Pittsburgh

The Diamondbacks look to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is just 1-5 in Zach Duke's last 6 starts. Arizona is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 4

Game 951-952: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 15.289; Washington (Martin) 15.356
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+170); Under
Game 953-954: Arizona at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Petit) 16.591; Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.119
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Over
Game 955-956: Colorado at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 16.284; Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.100
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over
Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Gorzelanny) 15.905; Cincinnati (Cueto) 12.843
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-110); Under
Game 959-960: St. Louis at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.061; NY Mets (Santana) 15.874
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Over
Game 961-962: San Francisco at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.770; Houston (Paulino) 15.102
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Over
Game 963-964: Atlanta at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Vazquez) 14.125; San Diego (Stauffer) 15.256
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+170); Over
Game 965-966: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.883; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.574
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Over
Game 967-968: Baltimore at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 14.295; Detroit (Washburn) 15.058
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-230); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-230); Under
Game 969-970: Minnesota at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.332; Cleveland (Huff) 16.090
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Over
Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.809; Toronto (Halladay) 16.826
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Over
Game 973-974: Boston at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.423; Tampa Bay (Garza) 15.799
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-110); Over
Game 975-976: Seattle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 13.586; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.566
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under
Game 977-978: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 16.815; White Sox (Contreras) 16.942
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Over
Game 979-980: Texas at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 15.698; Oakland (Gonzalez) 14.512
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Over



WNBA Basketball Picks

New York at Detroit

The Liberty and new coach Anne Donovan look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. New York is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 4

Game 601-602: San Antonio at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 106.598; Los Angeles 114.108
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 155 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3; 143
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-3); Over
Game 603-604: New York at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: New York 111.151; Detroit 110.828
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 142 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5 1/2; 150
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Under
Game 605-606: Phoenix at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 115.287; Seattle 114.487
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 3; 172
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+3); Over

 

[Yanks]

Alfred kelley

FLORIDA MARLINS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS

TAKE FLORIDA MARLINS ON THE MONEY LINE

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Tuesday

Monday Recap - Horrendous.....I'm not mad at myself over the Detroit
game but FURIOUS with myself over the LA Dodgers. I know better than
to play ANY -200 team right after the trade deadline...STUPID.
I want my money back and it's time to go on a serious roll.

Todays Play(s) - The best mismatch on the board is right in D.C.
Florida's Johnson is one of the hot pitchers and their facing a Nationals
team with a relatively weak bullpen.


MLB - Florida Marlins -160 [LISTED] Johnson / Martin 1200.00 / 750.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional


Record (24-16) + $679

 

[Yanks]

Top Rank Sports

St. Louis / N.Y. Mets OVER 7

Houston -110 over San Francisco

Tampa Bay -110 over Boston

 

[Yanks]

JOHN MORRISON

88-81 Since 5/27

Yesterday 2-0

Tuesday Aug 4:

Minn -140

NYY +120

 

[Yanks]

SMARTMONEY

11:45 AM Smart Money MLB Wiseguys just hit #951 Florida OVER.

SMART MONEY
This play was posted yesterday

08/03/09 02:10 PM Smart Money Wiseguys just hit #603 New York OVER (WNBA).

 

[Silkwood]

EZWINNERS




***** 5 STAR SELECTION *****

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Game: Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Sport: MLB
Time: 6:10PM CST
Risk/Win: $500 to win $510

(957) Chicago Cubs +$102
(Listing Gorzelanny and Cueto)
(Line from Betjamaica)



***** 3 STAR SELECTION *****

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Game: Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
Sport: MLB
Time: 6:05PM CST
Risk/Win: $327 to win $300

(974) Tampa Bay Rays -$109
(Listing Garza and Lester)
(Line from Betjamaica)



***** 3 STAR SELECTION *****

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Game: Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers
Sport: MLB
Time: 6:05PM CST
Risk/Win: $300 to win $600

(967) Baltimore Orioles +$200
(Listing Matusz and Washburn)
(Line from Betjamaica)




***** 2 STAR SELECTION *****

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Game: Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies
Sport: MLB
Time: 7:05PM CST
Risk/Win: $276 to win $200

(956) Philadelphia Phillies -$138
(Listing Moyer and Hammel)
(Line from Betjamaica)



***** 1 STAR SELECTION *****

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Game: San Francisco Giants @ Houston Astros
Sport: MLB
Time: 7:05PM CST
Risk/Win: $101 to win $100

(961) San Francisco Giants -$101
(Listing Sanchez and Paulino)
(Line from Betjamaica)



***** 1 STAR SELECTION *****

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Game: Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals
Sport: MLB
Time: 6:05PM CST
Risk/Win: $100 to win $104

(974) Kansas City Royals +$104
(Listing Hochevar and Rowland-Smith)
(Line from Betjamaica)

 

[Yanks]

INDIAN COWBOY

4 Unit Play. Take Over 150 between New York Liberty @ Detroit Shock (Tuesday @ 7:30pm est). The last six games for New York have gone over and we have been on that train the last few days successfully. New York looks to bounce-back from four straight losses, but that means they have been active dogs and consequently, those games have gone over. Detroit has revenge against New York from an earlier season loss and has been putting up quite a bit of points at home lately as compared to the first half of the season. The Shock come off an ugly loss to the Sun losing 65-83 and I expect them to have a much better offensive sync today as they do have revenge against New York and come off that loss. Plus, New York desperately needs to stop their losing streak so I expect them to play well as well. The Liberty are 5-0 to the Over lately and the Over is 5-1 for the Shock following a SU loss.


4 Unit Play. Take Under 172 between the Phoenix Mercury @ Seattle Storm (Tuesday @ 10pm est). These two teams have played twice thus far this season and the scores have been:

Phoenix 93-Seattle 81 (July 1st) (174)

Phoenix 84 - Seattle 93 (June 21st) (177)

Having said this, games in Seattle have been going under of late due to Seattle's focus on defense. Even with overtime, the San Antonio game still went under the posted total in their last game as well as the contest against Minnesota and Chicago. And, if Phoenix's contest against Minnesota is any hint, that contest finished at 161. At this point, these two teams are familiar with each other and consquently, I think points will be a little tougher to come by. Plus, games in Seattle are going under of late and not to mention Phoenix is coming off a big win and they usually come out flat after a big road win having followed a team led by Diana Taurasi for years this is usually the case. The Under is 5-2 in Seattle's last 7 home games.

 

[Yanks]

Mr. A's

Tuesday, August 4th, 2009, 7:05 PM EST.
Florida Marlins (55-50) at Washington Nationals (34-72)
(R) Josh Johnson (10-2) vs. (R) J.D. Martin (0-2)
Oddsmakers: Florida as a -180 road favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.

Florida Marlins -180

Tuesday, August 4th, 2009, 7:10 PM EST.
Chicago Cubs (56-48) at Cincinnati Reds (45-60)
(L) Tom Gorzelanny (3-1) vs. (R) Johnny Cueto (8-8)
Oddsmakers: Chicago as a -105 road favorite with the total listed at 9 'over'.

Chicago Cubs -105

 

[Yanks]

Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #969 Minnesota (-135) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 4)


1-Unit Play. Take #966 L.A. Dodgers (-125) over Milwaukee (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take #968 Detroit (-1.5, -115) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 4)


1-Unit Play. Take #963 Atlanta (-170) over San Diego (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 4)


1-Unit Play. Take #951 Florida (-1.5, +105) over Washington (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 4)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #979 Texas (-130) over Oakland (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 4)